Two Storms Lie Ahead in the Next 10 Days as New Year & January Begins Snow Drought May Break This Weekend

Two Storms Lie Ahead in the Next 10 Days as New Year & January Begins

Snow Drought May Break This Weekend

Two Storms Lie Ahead in the Next 10 Days as New Year & January Begins

Snow Drought May Break This Weekend

Happy New Year to all and as the new year gets underway, we are looking ahead to a very active pattern over the next 10 days. 3 storm systems will be developing and we will likely see impacts from 2 of them. The first is Thursday where low pressure moves off the Southeast US Coast as an upper trough moves through the Norhteast and Mid Atlantic. This might produce a few rain or snow showers as the trough goes by Thursday. The second will come Saturday night and Sunday and this system shows an increasing probability of bringing accumulating snows of at least a few inches. There area areas in the coastal plain of the Northeast and Northern Mid Atlantic that have not seen accumulatings snows of an inch or 2 or more going back 2 years! Above is the first forecast from the Weather Prediction Center for the weekend system and the probability for at least a few inches. I round it off to 3 inches to just make things simple. This is in their day 6 forecast which indicates that WPC thinks there is something to this. We will get to the third storm system shortly.

SATELLITE WITH LIGHTNING STRIKES

WEATHER RADAR

Today we have to deal with another upper trough that will be moving through along with a weak cold front. The radar is picking up on scattered rain and snow showers. The satellite shows a lot of cloud cover extending from New England all the way back to the Great Lakes so this will be another day of lots of clouds, though some breaks of sun could make an appearence. Highs today will be in the low to mid 40s and watch for a scattered rain or snow shower.

There really isn’t much going on through Wednesday as we have mostly dry air around that isn’t especially cold. Skies tonight will try to partially clear as this upper trough makes an attempt to move out to the east. Tuesday morning lows will be in the upper 20s to mid 30s. Tuesday look for sunshine and some clouds with highs in the low to mid 40s and the same holds for Wednesday.

Thursday begins the parade of lows. The first one is going to pass well to the south but between it and the upper trough there could be a rain or snow shower or two scattered around Thursday. We also will start seeing a strong high building into Eastern Canada and New England late this week and into the weekend will be an important player in the second storm system, Thursday we will see highs in the upper 30s and lower 40s. Friday look for some sunshine and colder temperatures with highs in the mid to upper 30s. Then as we head into Saturday clouds will increase and low pressure moves across the Gulf States and turns northeast into the Appalachians, eventually reaching the latitude of Virginia. From here the low will push east northeast so that areas north of the low track will likely see accumulating snow. Weather models remain very consistent with this idea. It would seem that the big cities from Washington and Baltimore northeast to Philadelphia, NYC, and Boston could see their first accumulating snows of the winter, and in some cases the first in 2 years. The models remain remarkably consistent with this storm. If there is a risk, I would say that it would be a track further south because of the building high to the north.The risk time frame will be Saturday night into Sunday night.

If we do get accumulating snow this weekend, it is a pretty good bet it will be washed away as right behind this system is a stronger one that is likely to develop into a major storm that tracks to the Eastern Great Lakes. This will bring perhaps a little snow on the front end Tuesday followed by heavy rains and perhaps a screaming southeast wind though we aren’t anywhere close enough time wise to be specific. This system could also bring heavy snow to areas around the Great Lakes which have alsoe going through a snow drought of sorts this winter. Suddenly it seems the weather pattern has changed to one that resembles winter! Happy New Year and enjoy the holiday.

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MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS

Please note that with regards to any severe weather,  tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.