Happy New Year, Active Stormy Pattern Head May Break the Snow Drought

Happy New Year, Active Stormy Pattern Head May Break the Snow Drought

Happy New Year, Active Stormy Pattern Head May Break the Snow Drought

The year comes to an end today on the last day of December and we are going to be relatively calm and quiet. There is another upper trough approaching from the west and that is producing clouds on the satellite. Radars however are not showing much if anything at all so we will go with a day of partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies. Highs this afternoon will be in the low to middle 40s. Then of course we have tonight where folks will be out and about and it should be at least partially clear with lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s by Monday morning.

SATELLITE WITH LIGHTNING STRIKES

WEATHER RADAR

The week is going to start out quietly with mostly cloudy to partly sunny for Monday New Year’s Day. There is a weak cold front that will be moving through and there probably won’t be much of anything with that front as it goes by other than to shift the winds a bit more to the northwest. Highs Monday in the low to mid 40s.

We have been discussing the process of pattern change and that it is a long grinding process that can take several weeks to play out. This process began back around Christmas Day and it continues. You don’t always see any results from the pattern change process but eventually you get to a point where change does show up. We seem to be at the point now in the process.

We have the evolution of a very active southern jet stream pattern developing and the map above shows the upper air pattern for Thursday January 4. I took this snap shot view to emphasize that while the southern jet is active, up until now we did not have any cold connection from Canada. This is going to change this week as that colder flow develops across Southern Canada and then builds into New England.

Three storm systems look to be moving along in the flow over the next 10 days or so. The first being this Thursday which will pass mostly to the south and east with little in the way of any precipitation. However the second system will be coming into California over the next few days and head eastward and develop into a stronger storm as it reaches the East Coast. Cold high pressure builds in Eastern Canada and presses cold air southward. The question will be track and that will tell us where the southern edge of the rain snow line will be. A third storm is likley to follow and for now models seem to want to take this one to the Great Lakes in about 10 or so days from now. It does seem that the snow drought could be broken with this weather system next week at least for some areas of the Northeast and Northern Mid Atlantic.

In the meantime Tuesday and Wednesday look to be decent days with some sunshine both days and highs in the low to mid 40s. Thursday we have this storm passing to the south with probably some high clouds around. Highs will be in the low 40s Thursday. Friday will be colder but dry with highs in the mid to upper 30s.

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MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS

Please note that with regards to any severe weather,  tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.